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76% Think Iran Likely to Develop Nuclear Weapons
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Three-out-of-four Americans (76%) believe it is likely that Iran will soon develop nuclear weapons.

Just 37% believe it is possible to prevent such an outcome while another 37% believe it is not possible. Men, by a 50% to 34% margin, believe Iran can be stopped from acquiring nuclear weapons. Women, by a 39% to 26% margin, disagree.

If the U.S. is unwilling to launch a military attack, just 24% believe that diplomatic efforts could stop stop Iran. Forty-eight percent (48% disagree).

There is an interesting partisan breakdown on this last question. Republicans and those not affiliated with either major party believe the chance of prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons declines significantly if the military option is taken off the table. Among Democrats, the prospects for success are essentially the same with or without the possibility of military action.\

Among Republicans, 48% believe it is possible to stop Iran. That number falls to 20% without the military option.

Among unaffiliateds, 37% believe Iran can be stopped. That falls to 23%.

As for Democrats, 27% believe Iran can be stopped. That number actually inches up to 28% if the military option is removed and only diplomatic approaches are used.

The survey also found that the nation is divided on a proposal to increase broadcasts into Iran for the purpose of building internal opposition to the current regime. Republicans strongly support this approach, Democrats are strongly opposed, and unafilliateds are split.

Seventy-one percent (71%) of Americans say they're following news stories of the situation in Iran somewhat or very closely.

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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 1,000 Adults
February 16-17, 2006

Iran Soon Develop Nuclear Weapons?

Very Likely

44%

Somewhat Likely

32%

Not Very Likely

10%

Not at All Likely

2%

Possible to Prevent Iran from Acquiring Nuclear Weapons?

Yes

37%

No

37%

Not Sure

26%

Without Military Action, is it Possible to Prevent Iran from Acquiring Nuclear Weapons?

Yes

24%

No

48%

Not Sure

28%

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