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Americans Still See Economic Recovery As A Long-Term Process
Wednesday, March 11, 2009
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Most Americans remain confident that the U.S. economy will be stronger in five years than it is today, but most also expect very little to change in the next 12 months. The numbers are largely unchanged from early January. Sixty-four percent (64%) of Americans say the economy will be stronger in five years than it is today, while just 17% think it will be weaker by then, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. But, opinion is much more evenly divided on expectations for the next twelve months--only 42% say the economy will be stronger in a year’s time, and nearly as many (37%) expect it to be weaker. Just 12% believe the stock market will recover within a year. Twenty-one percent (21%) say it will take two years, and 13% believe three years are needed. The plurality of adults (37%) predict it will take more than three years for the market to come back. Thirty-eight percent (38%) also believe it will take more than three years for housing prices to recover. Some are more optimistic: Eight percent (8%) believe housing prices will come back within a year, 18% say two years, and 19% three years. Neatly two-thirds of Americans think the housing market will improve only when the overall U.S. economy gets better. (Want a free daily e-mail update? Sign up now. If it's in the news, it's in our polls.) Rasmussen Reports updates also available on Twitter Forty-four percent (44%) of investors say the economy will be weaker 12 months from now, but 40% say it will be stronger. Five years from now, however, 66% of investors say the economy will be stronger. Nearly half of investors expect it to take more than three years for both the stock market and housing prices to recover. Consumer and Investor confidence has set record lows several times in 2008 and 2009 and continues to do so. Democrats are far more confident about the economy than Republicans in both the short- and long-term. Fifty-six percent (56%) of Democrats say the economy will be stronger within a year, but 57% of Republicans predict it will be weaker. Adults not affiliated with either party are almost evenly divided on the question. Most Democrats (55%) say the stock market will recover within three years, but just 40% of Republicans and 38% of unaffiliateds agree. Half of all Americans (53%) now say the United States is at least somewhat likely to enter a 1930’s-like depression within the next few years. Confidence about the availability of jobs also has dropped over the past two months. Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free)… let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news. See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
Survey of 1,000 Adults
TOP STORIESWhat They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls Support for Congressional Health Care Proposal Up to 47%, 49% Opposed Voters’ Opinions of Congressional Leaders Remain Steady Voters Continue to See Deficit Reduction as Top Priority To Create Jobs, Voters Say Cut Taxes and Stop Spending Brown Ensnared in His Own Tapegate Trap By Debra J. Saunders Republicans Maintain Steady Lead on Generic Ballot Democrats & Unaffiliateds More Likely To Be Unemployed Than Republicans 42% Rate Geithner’s Performance As Poor Advertisement
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