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New Mexico: Kerry 50% Bush 43%
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Rasmussen Reports finds John Kerry with a 7-point lead over George W. Bush among New Mexico voters. Our first Election 2004 survey in the state shows Kerry with 50% of the vote, Bush with 43%, and Libertarian Michael Badnarik with 5%. Ralph Nader is not on the ballot in New Mexico.

This moves New Mexico to the "Leans Kerry" column for our Electoral College projection. Four years ago, Gore won the state by less than 400 votes.

Among all adults, as opposed to Likely Voters, Kerry leads 48% to 43% for Bush with Badnarik still attracting 5% of the vote.

In New Mexico, 48% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's slightly below his national Job Approval rating.

Twenty-three percent (23%) of Republicans and 25% of Democrats say there are circumstances under which they would consider voting for Badnarik. After learning that Badnarik says he would stop the War in Iraq and the Drug War, just 13% of Republicans say there is still a possibility they would vote for the Libertarian. With that same information, 28% of Democrats would consider a vote for Badnarik and 43% of unaffiliated voters would do the same.

Data for New Mexico will be updated again early next month.

Rasmussen Reports is an independent public opinion research firm that provides daily updates on the Presidential election and the nation's economic confidence.

In August, we have released state election polls for Washington, Maine, Ohio, Florida, Michigan, Oregon, New Jersey, Arkansas, New Mexico, California, Missouri, North Carolina, Virginia, Iowa, Georgia, Illinois, and Minnesota.

Last month, we also issued state election polls for Alabama, Maryland, New York, Oklahoma, and South Carolina.. These states will be updated in the next few days. Polling data from additional states will also be released.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

August 4, 2004

New Mexico 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush

43%

Kerry

50%

Badnarik

5%

Not Sure

2%

RasmussenReports.com

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