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New Hampshire: Kerry 49% Bush 47%
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Four years ago, New Hampshire cast its Electoral Votes for George W. Bush. Today, however, it is the only "Red State" from Election 2000 where the President is not tied or ahead.

The latest Rasmussen Reports survey found that Senator Kerry attracts 49% of the New Hampshire vote while President Bush has 47%. A month ago, Kerry was ahead by six percentage points in the state and New Hampshire was listed as "Leans Kerry" for our Electoral College projections. Today, however, we are moving the state back to Toss-Up status.

In New Hampshire, Kerry currently attracts 15% of the state's Republicans vote (down from 19% a month ago). Bush gets just 11% from Democrats (down from 13%a month ago). In most states and in the national polls, Bush earns more crossover votes than Kerry.

In New Hampshire, the President's Job Approval is at 49, up from 47% a month ago.%.

Forty-three percent (43%) say the U.S. is heading in the right direction while 55% disagree and say we are off on the wrong track.

Rasmussen Reports has recently released state election polls for Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, West Virginia, Washington, Virginia, and Wisconsin.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 500 Likely Voters
October 18, 2004

New Hampshire 2004 Presidential Ballot

Bush

47%

Kerry

49%

Nader

1%

Not Sure

3%

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