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Welcome |
|
At
Rasmussen Reports we interview 1,000 Likely Voters every single night.
Data on this page reflects a seven-day rolling average sample of 7,000
Likely Voters spread equally over the preceding seven nights. Our surveys
were of 500 Likely Voters each night prior to September 1,
2004.
This seven-day sample reduces the random variation that can come
from smaller sample sizes and polling on different days of the
week.
The
seven-day rolling average is useful in cutting through the statistical
noise of smaller samples and measuring the overall flow of the campaign.
However, it lags behind other indicators in measuring reaction to breaking
news. Seven-day rolling average data is also available for the Presidential
Ballot and the President's Job
Approval Ratings. Three-day rolling average information is also
available for the Generic
Congressional Ballot, the President's Job
Approval, and the Presidential
Race.
For
data from April 16 to June 30, click here.
July 1 - August 31, click here.
Survey of 7,000 Likely Voters over preceding 7 nights (3,500 prior
to September 1). This table updated daily
| RR |
Election
2004 |
| GOP |
Democrat |
Spread |
GOP |
Democrat |
Other |
Not
Sure |
| Today |
42.6 |
45.9 |
D + 3.3 |
42.6 |
45.9 |
3.0 |
8.5 |
|
Nov 1 |
42.6 |
45.6 |
D + 3.0 |
42.6 |
45.6 |
3.1 |
8.7 |
| Oct
31 |
42.5 |
45.2 |
D + 2.7 |
42.5 |
45.2 |
3.1 |
9.2 |
| Oct
30 |
42.6 |
44.9 |
D + 2.3 |
42.6 |
44.9 |
3.1 |
9.4 |
| Oct
29 |
42.6 |
44.8 |
D + 2.2 |
42.6 |
44.8 |
3.0 |
9.6 |
| Oct
28 |
42.5 |
44.8 |
D + 2.3 |
42.5 |
44.8 |
2.8 |
10.0 |
| Oct
27 |
42.1 |
44.7 |
D + 2.6 |
42.1 |
44.7 |
2.9 |
10.2 |
| Oct
26 |
42.3 |
44.6 |
D + 2.3 |
42.3 |
44.6 |
3.1 |
10.0 |
| Oct
25 |
41.7 |
44.9 |
D + 3.2 |
41.7 |
44.9 |
3.2 |
10.2 |
| Oct
24 |
41.3 |
44.9 |
D + 3.6 |
41.3 |
44.9 |
3.2 |
10.6 |
| Oct
23 |
41.3 |
44.5 |
D + 3.2 |
41.3 |
44.5 |
3.5 |
10.7 |
| Oct
22 |
41.5 |
44.1 |
D + 2.6 |
41.5 |
44.1 |
3.6 |
10.8 |
| Oct
21 |
41.2 |
44.2 |
D + 3.0 |
41.2 |
44.2 |
3.7 |
10.9 |
| Oct
20 |
41.3 |
44.0 |
D + 2.7 |
41.3 |
44.0 |
3.7 |
11.0 |
| Oct
19 |
41.7 |
43.9 |
D + 2.2 |
41.7 |
43.9 |
3.5 |
10.9 |
| Oct
18 |
41.5 |
44.1 |
D + 2.6 |
41.5 |
44.1 |
3.4 |
11.0 |
| Oct
17 |
41.6 |
43.9 |
D + 2.3 |
41.6 |
43.9 |
3.5 |
11.0 |
| Oct
16 |
41.6 |
44.0 |
D + 2.4 |
41.6 |
44.0 |
3.3 |
11.1 |
| Oct
15 |
41.3 |
43.8 |
D + 2.5 |
41.3 |
43.8 |
3.3 |
11.5 |
| Oct
14 |
41.2 |
43.8 |
D + 2.6 |
41.2 |
43.8 |
3.3 |
11.7 |
| Oct
13 |
41.2 |
44.0 |
D + 2.8 |
41.2 |
44.0 |
3.0 |
11.7 |
| Oct
12 |
40.4 |
44.4 |
D + 4.0 |
40.4 |
44.4 |
3.1 |
12.1 |
| Oct
11 |
41.2 |
44.5 |
D + 3.3 |
41.2 |
44.5 |
3.0 |
11.2 |
| Oct
10 |
41.5 |
44.6 |
D + 3.1 |
41.5 |
44.6 |
3.0 |
11.0 |
| Oct
9 |
41.1 |
44.8 |
D + 3.7 |
41.1 |
44.8 |
3.0 |
11.2 |
| Oct
8 |
40.9 |
45.0 |
D + 4.1 |
40.9 |
45.0 |
2.9 |
11.2 |
| Oct
7 |
40.6 |
45.1 |
D + 4.5 |
40.6 |
45.1 |
2.9 |
11.4 |
| Oct
6 |
40.3 |
45.2 |
D + 4.9 |
40.3 |
45.2 |
3.1 |
11.4 |
| Oct
5 |
40.6 |
44.8 |
D + 4.2 |
40.6 |
44.8 |
3.1 |
11.5 |
| Oct
4 |
40.5 |
44.4 |
D + 3.9 |
40.5 |
44.4 |
3.1 |
11.9 |
| Oct
3 |
40.6 |
43.9 |
D + 3.3 |
40.6 |
43.9 |
3.1 |
12.5 |
| Oct
2 |
40.8 |
44.0 |
D + 3.2 |
40.8 |
44.0 |
3.1 |
12.1 |
| Oct
1 |
41.2 |
43.8 |
D + 2.6 |
41.2 |
43.8 |
3.0 |
12.1 |
| Sept 30 |
41.3 |
43.8 |
D + 2.5 |
41.3 |
43.8 |
3.1 |
11.8 |
| Sept 29 |
41.4 |
43.9 |
D + 2.5 |
41.4 |
43.9 |
3.1 |
11.6 |
| Sept 28 |
41.0 |
43.9 |
D + 2.9 |
41.0 |
43.9 |
3.2 |
11.9 |
| Sept 27 |
41.3 |
43.7 |
D + 2.4 |
41.3 |
43.7 |
3.1 |
11.9 |
| Sept 26 |
41.1 |
44.0 |
D + 2.9 |
41.1 |
44.0 |
3.3 |
11.7 |
| Sept 25 |
40.8 |
43.9 |
D + 3.1 |
40.8 |
43.9 |
3.3 |
12.1 |
| Sept 24 |
40.7 |
43.7 |
D + 3.0 |
40.7 |
43.7 |
3.4 |
12.1 |
| Sept 23 |
41.1 |
43.5 |
D + 2.4 |
41.1 |
43.5 |
3.3 |
12.4 |
| Sept 22 |
41.1 |
43.2 |
D + 2.1 |
41.1 |
43.2 |
3.3 |
12.4 |
| Sept 21 |
41.4 |
43.2 |
D + 1.8 |
41.4 |
43.2 |
3.2 |
12.2 |
| Sept 20 |
41.1 |
43.5 |
D + 2.4 |
41.1 |
43.5 |
3.2 |
12.2 |
| Sept 19 |
40.7 |
44.2 |
D + 3.5 |
40.7 |
44.2 |
3.1 |
11.9 |
| Sept 18 |
41.1 |
44.1 |
D + 3.0 |
41.1 |
44.1 |
3.2 |
11.7 |
| Sept 17 |
40.7 |
44.4 |
D + 3.7 |
40.7 |
44.4 |
3.2 |
11.7 |
| Sept 16 |
40.4 |
44.3 |
D + 3.9 |
40.4 |
44.3 |
3.2 |
12.0 |
| Sept 15 |
39.4 |
44.8 |
D + 5.4 |
39.4 |
44.8 |
3.4 |
12.4 |
| Sept 14 |
39.3 |
44.9 |
D + 5.6 |
39.3 |
44.9 |
3.3 |
12.5 |
| Sept 13 |
39.8 |
44.6 |
D + 4.8 |
39.8 |
44.6 |
3.3 |
12.2 |
| Sept 12 |
40.5 |
43.9 |
D + 3.4 |
40.5 |
43.9 |
3.2 |
12.4 |
| Sept 11 |
40.1 |
43.8 |
D + 3.7 |
40.1 |
43.8 |
3.4 |
12.7 |
| Sept 10 |
40.3 |
43.2 |
D + 2.9 |
40.3 |
43.2 |
3.5 |
13.0 |
| Sept 9 |
40.4 |
43.4 |
D + 3.0 |
40.4 |
43.4 |
3.5 |
12.7 |
| Sept 8 |
40.4 |
43.0 |
D + 2.6 |
40.4 |
43.0 |
3.5 |
13.1 |
| Sept 7 |
40.4 |
43.1 |
D + 2.7 |
40.4 |
43.1 |
3.5 |
13.1 |
| Sept 6 |
40.2 |
42.8 |
D + 2.6 |
40.2 |
42.8 |
3.5 |
13.5 |
| Sept 5 |
39.5 |
43.0 |
D + 3.5 |
39.5 |
43.0 |
3.7 |
13.8 |
| Sept 4 |
40.0 |
43.1 |
D + 3.1 |
40.0 |
43.1 |
3.6 |
13.3 |
| Sept 3 |
39.8 |
43.6 |
D + 3.8 |
39.8 |
43.6 |
3.8 |
12.8 |
| Sept 2 |
39.5 |
43.3 |
D + 3.8 |
39.5 |
43.3 |
3.9 |
13.4 |
| Sept 1 |
39.2 |
43.2 |
D + 4.0 |
39.2 |
43.2 |
3.9 |
13.7 | |