RR Presidential Track Jul

At Rasmussen Reports we interview 1,000 Likely Voters every single night. Data on this page reflects a three-day rolling average sample of 3,000 Likely Voters spread equally over the preceding three nights. Our surveys were of 500 Likely Voters each night prior to September 1, 2004.

The three-day rolling average is useful in spotting possible trends and measuring immediate reaction to events in the news. However, sometimes it is difficult to determine whether movement is really a trend or mere statistical noise. The best approach is to use the information on this page in conjunction with the seven-day rolling average data provided separately.

For data from April 16 to June 30, click here. Current data, click here

Data prior to April 16 is also available.

Survey of 1,500 Likely Voters over preceding 3 nights. This table updated daily

RR	Presidential Tracking (no leaners)			Presidential Tracking (with leaners)			Core Support ("Certain" Voters)
RR	Bush	Kerry	Spread	Bush	Kerry	Spread	Bush	Kerry
Aug 31	47	46	B + 1	49	48	B + 1	42	40
Aug 30	47	46	B + 1	48	48	Tie	42	38
Aug 29	48	45	B + 3	49	47	B + 2	41	37
Aug 28	47	46	B + 1	48	47	B + 1	40	38
Aug 27	46	46	Tie	47	48	K + 1	40	40
Aug 26	47	46	B + 1	49	48	B + 1	41	41
Aug 25	47	47	Tie	48	49	K + 1	40	40
Aug 24	47	47	Tie	49	49	Tie	41	39
Aug 23	46	47	K + 1	48	49	K + 1	40	40
Aug 22	47	47	Tie	49	49	Tie	41	39
Aug 21	47	47	Tie	49	49	Tie	41	39
Aug 20	47	48	K + 1	49	49	Tie	41	40
Aug 19	46	48	K + 2	47	49	K + 2	40	40
Aug 18	46	48	K + 2	47	50	K + 3	40	40
Aug 17	46	49	K + 3	46	50	K + 4	40	40
Aug 16	47	48	K + 1	48	49	K + 1	41	39
Aug 15	46	48	K + 2	47	49	K + 2	40	39
Aug 14	46	47	K + 1	48	49	K + 1	40	39
Aug 13	46	48	K + 2	47	50	K + 3	39	40
Aug 12	45	48	K + 3	47	50	K + 3	39	41
Aug 11	46	49	K + 3	47	50	K + 3	40	40
Aug 10	46	49	K + 3	47	50	K + 3	40	40
Aug 9	48	47	B + 1	49	48	B + 1	41	39
Aug 8	48	47	B + 1	49	48	B + 1	42	39
Aug 7	47	47	Tie	48	49	K + 1	42	40
Aug 6	46	48	K + 2	47	50	K + 3	40	41
Aug 5	45	48	K + 3	46	50	K + 4	40	40
Aug 4	46	46	Tie	48	48	Tie	41	39
Aug 3	45	48	K + 3	46	50	K + 4	40	40
Aug 2	46	47	K + 1	47	49	K + 2	40	41
Aug 1	45	49	K + 4	46	51	K + 5	39	41
July 31	46	47	K + 1	48	50	K + 2	40	40
July 30	45	48	K + 3	47	51	K + 4	39	39
July 29	45	48	K + 3	47	51	K + 4	39	39
July 28	45	48	K + 3	47	50	K + 3	39	38
July 27	46	47	K + 1	47	49	K + 2	39	37
July 26	46	46	Tie	48	48	Tie	39	35
July 25	46	47	K + 1	48	49	K + 1	38	36
July 24	45	47	K + 2	47	50	K + 3	37	38
July 23	45	48	K + 3	46	51	K + 5	37	38
July 22	45	48	K + 3	46	51	K + 5	39	38
July 21	47	46	B + 1	48	48	Tie	40	38
July 20	47	45	B + 2	48	47	B + 1	40	36
July 19	47	45	B + 2	49	47	B + 2	39	36
July 18	46	46	Tie	49	48	B + 1	39	37
July 17	46	47	K + 1	48	49	K + 1	39	38
July 16	46	48	K + 2	48	49	K + 1	39	39
July 15	45	48	K + 3	48	49	K + 1	38	38
July 14	45	48	K + 3	48	50	K + 2	38	38
July 13	45	48	K + 3	47	50	K + 3	36	37
July 12	44	48	K + 4	46	50	K + 4	37	39
July 11	45	48	K + 3	46	50	K + 4	38	38
July 10	45	49	K + 4	47	50	K + 3	38	39
July 9	46	47	K + 1	48	49	K + 1	39	35
July 8	46	46	Tie	47	49	K + 2	39	36
July 7	47	45	B + 2	48	48	Tie	40	36
July 6	47	46	B + 1	48	49	K + 1	40	36
July 5	No polling
July 4	Fourth of July
July 3	Weekend
July 2	46	46	Tie	47	49	K + 2	39	36
July 1	45	46	K + 1	47	50	K + 3	37	36