RR Presidential Track Apr 16

At Rasmussen Reports, we interview 500 Likely Voters every single night. Data on this page reflects a three-day rolling average sample of 1,500 Likely Voters spread equally over the preceding three nights. .

The three-day rolling average is useful in spotting possible trends and measuring immediate reaction to events in the news. However, sometimes it is difficult to determine whether movement is really a trend or mere statistical noise. The best approach is to use the information on this page in conjunction with the seven-day rolling average data provided separately. Data prior to April 16 is also available.

Survey of 1,500 Likely Voters over preceding three nights This table is updated daily

RR	Presidential Tracking (no leaners)			Presidential Tracking (with leaners)			Core Support ("Certain" Voters)
RR	Bush	Kerry	Spread	Bush	Kerry	Spread	Bush	Kerry
June 30	45	46	K + 1	46	50	K + 4	37	36
June 29	45	45	Tie	47	49	K + 2	38	35
June 28	45	45	Tie	47	49	K + 2	39	35
June 27	46	46	Tie	48	49	K + 1	38	35
June 26	46	46	Tie	48	49	K + 1	39	37
June 25	46	45	B + 1	47	49	K + 2	38	36
June 24	47	45	B + 2	48	48	Tie	40	35
June 23	44	47	K + 3	46	50	K + 4	38	36
June 22	44	47	K + 3	46	50	K + 4	37	36
June 21	44	47	K + 3	45	50	K + 5	37	37
June 20	46	46	Tie	47	49	K + 2	38	35
June 19	45	46	K + 1	47	49	K + 2	38	36
June 18	46	45	B + 1	48	48	Tie	40	35
June 17	46	45	B + 1	47	48	K + 1	38	34
June 16	46	45	B + 1	48	48	Tie	38	34
June 15	46	46	Tie	48	49	K + 1	38	34
June 14	46	47	K + 1	48	50	K + 2	39	35
June 13	47	45	B + 2	49	48	B + 1	40	32
June 12	47	44	B + 3	49	47	B + 2	40	33
June 11	47	44	B + 3	49	48	B + 1	39	34
June 10	45	45	Tie	47	48	K + 1	39	35
June 9	44	46	K + 2	47	48	K + 1	38	36
June 8	45	45	Tie	48	47	B + 1	38	34
June 7	45	45	Tie	48	48	Tie	38	35
June 6	46	45	B + 1	48	48	Tie	37	34
June 5	45	45	Tie	47	49	K + 2	36	34
June 4	44	45	K + 1	47	49	K + 2	36	34
June 3	44	44	Tie	47	48	K + 1	37	33
June 2	44	45	K + 1	47	49	K + 2	37	35
June 1	46	44	B + 2	48	47	B + 1	38	32
May 31	45	44	B + 1	48	47	B + 1	37	33
May 30	46	43	B + 3	49	46	B + 3	38	33
May 29	45	45	Tie	47	48	K + 1	38	34
May 28	45	45	Tie	47	49	K + 2	38	35
May 27	44	47	K + 3	46	50	K + 4	36	35
May 26	45	45	Tie	47	49	K + 2	37	34
May 25	44	46	K + 2	46	50	K + 4	37	33
May 24	45	45	Tie	47	49	K + 2	37	33
May 23	45	45	Tie	46	50	K + 4	38	34
May 22	45	45	Tie	46	50	K + 4	38	34
May 21	45	45	Tie	47	49	K + 2	39	34
May 20	45	44	B + 1	48	47	B + 1	39	35
May 19	45	43	B + 2	48	46	B + 2	38	33
May 18	43	45	K + 2	46	48	K + 2	35	35
May 17	43	45	K + 2	46	49	K + 3	35	35
May 16	44	46	K + 2	46	50	K + 4	36	36
May 15	46	45	B + 1	49	48	B + 1	39	35
May 14	45	47	K + 2	47	49	K + 2	38	34
May 13	46	46	Tie	48	48	Tie	39	34
May 12	45	46	K + 1	47	49	K + 2	38	33
May 11	46	45	B + 1	48	48	Tie	37	33
May 10	No Polling on Mothers' Day
May 9	45	46	K + 1	48	48	Tie	36	34
May 8	44	46	K + 2	47	49	K + 2	35	35
May 7	44	46	K + 2	47	49	K + 2	37	35
May 6	45	45	Tie	47	49	K + 2	37	35
May 5	43	47	K + 4	45	50	K + 5	36	36
May 4	43	46	K + 3	46	49	K + 3	35	34
May 3	43	46	K + 3	46	49	K + 3	36	34
May 2	45	45	Tie	47	49	K + 2	37	34
May 1	46	45	B + 1	47	49	K + 2	38	34
Apr 30	45	46	K + 1	47	49	K + 2	37	35
Apr 29	44	46	K + 2	47	49	K + 2	37	34
Apr 28	45	45	Tie	48	48	Tie	38	34
Apr 27	47	44	B + 3	49	48	B + 1	39	32
Apr 26	48	44	B + 4	50	47	B + 3	41	32
Apr 25	48	45	B + 3	50	47	B + 3	40	33
Apr 24	47	45	B + 2