Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley

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In the Maryland race for Governor, Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley is maintaining a seven-point advantage over Republican Governor Bob Ehrlich, leading 50% to 43% (see crosstabs). The new Rasmussen Reports election poll shows each candidate gaining a point since our July survey.

The state’s Senate race is also competitive.

The race for Governor has been tough for the incumbent from the start. Last summer, Ehrlich narrowly led O'Malley and was trailing Doug Duncan, a Democrat who left the race a few months ago.

Governor Ehrlich is a Republican chief executive in a famously Democratic-leaning state. Given the trouble the GOP has been having this year, his troubles are not surprising. Still, a seven-point deficit with more than two months to go is not insurmountable.

In a recent campaign ad, Ehrlich touts the state's support for schools, including Baltimore schools, while also criticizing Mayor O'Malley's stewardship of the Baltimore public school system. O'Malley's campaign counters that, under Governor Ehrlich, college has become too expensive.

Ehrlich enjoys 11% more support from GOP voters than O'Malley does from Democrats. But O'Malley does better with unaffiliated voters. The same differences show up in their favorable numbers, with Ehrlich viewed favorably by 89% of Republicans, O'Malley by 70% of Democrats.

O'Malley has a fifteen-point edge among those who regard the economy as the most important issue affecting their vote.

Crosstabs are available to Premium Members. See our Politics Page and Elections Page for other State Election results and important issues of the day.

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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.