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Washington Senate: Cantwell 48%, McGavick 37%
Incumbent’s Ratings Slide Reversed
Monday, July 31, 2006
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On the heels of her campaign’s first statewide television ad campaign, Democratic Senator Maria Cantwell’s poll numbers have improved for the first time in months. Cantwell now leads challenger Mike McGavick (R) by 11 percentage points, 48% to 37%. That’s up from a four point lead in June. The ratings reversal comes after six previous polls showed Cantwell’s numbers steadily falling. The latest Rasmussen Reports election poll of 500 likely voters was taken a week after the launch of the 30-second television spot, “First,” which touts Cantwell’s accomplishments on behalf of Washington state’s families. Cantwell’s favorability now stands at 56%, a three-point gain from last month’s poll. Her unfavorable rating dipped four points during the same time frame, currently registering at 38%. An equal percentage of voters (21%) view her “very” favorably and “very” unfavorably. McGavick’s numbers are virtually unchanged since last month’s poll. His favorable rating dropped a point to 45% while his unfavorable rating holds steady at 35%. Twenty-one percent (21%) of those surveyed have yet to form an opinion of the candidate. Cantwell’s support among her party’s voters also has increased; she now pulls support from 88% of Democrats, up from 82% in June. McGavick’s support from his Republican base remains unchanged at 80%. Cantwell has greatly improved her numbers among unaffiliated voters. Overall, Washington’s voters rank the economy (24%), the war in Iraq (20%), immigration (14%) and national security (14%) as their most pressing issues. Cantwell leads among those who name the economy, the War in Iraq, and government corruption as their most important issue. McGavick leads among those who see national security, immigration, and same-sex marriage as a top issue. Looking at the issue of voting, 75% of Washington voters believe that photo identification should be required before people are allowed to cast a ballot. Fifteen percent (15%) disagree and 10% are undecided. Sixty-three percent (63%) of all voters believe ballots should be printed in English only, while one-third (33%) say bilingual ballots (English and Spanish) are acceptable. This particular issue generates strong opinions among GOP voters: 79% support English-only ballots versus 18% who support English and Spanish. Democrats are fairly evenly divided on the issue. Forty-seven percent (47%) favor English-only ballots and 49% support bilingual ballots. Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters surveyed agree that the political system is badly broken. Thirty-one percent (31%) disagree and 14% are unsure. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Washingtonians disapprove of President Bush’s job performance with 47% indicating strong disapproval. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
Survey of 500 Likely Voters
TOP STORIESElectoral College: Democrats 200 Republicans 189 Leaners 111 Toss-Up 38 Will Third Party Candidates Tip the Presidential Race? Oregon: Obama 51% Clinton 39% Bush Job Approval Stays at Record Low 49% Say Victory in Iraq Likely if McCain Elected Kentucky: Clinton 56% Obama 31% Oregon: Obama Leads McCain by Six, McCain Leads Clinton by Six 62% of Voters Prefer Fewer Government Services with Lower Taxes Obama's Vice-President By Gerald M. Pomper Advertisment
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