As the Jeb Bush era winds down in Florida, the race to replace him as Governor is a toss-up. Match-ups involving two Republicans and two Democrats contending for the job show that nobody has a clear advantage at the beginning of 2006.

Attorney General Charlie Crist (R) leads Congressman Jim Davis (D) by just a single percentage point, 36% to 35%. Six weeks earlier, Davis had a three-point advantage in this match-up.

Davis is tied at 37% with the other potential GOP candidate, Tom Gallagher.

With Rod Smith as the Democrats' nominee, Crist leads 40% to 35% and Gallagher holds a 36% to 35% advantage.

Related data shows Senator Bill Nelson (D) with a 23-percentage point lead over Congresswoman Katherine Harris in his bid for re-election.

Crosstabs are available for Premium Members. See results for each match-up, Crist-Davis, Crist-Smith, Gallagher-Davis, or Gallagher-Smith. Also available is other data on the candidates along with Job Approval ratings for the President and Governor.

Data on the party primaries will be released to Premium Members over the weekend.

Of the four candidates, Crist has the highest name recognition and is the only one to reach the 50% level of favorability. For Crist, the numbers are 50% favorable and 31% unfavorable.

Visit our Election Polls page to see a summary of our latest state-by state polling. Rasmussen Reports is polling every Senate and Governors' race at least once a month this year.

Crosstabs are available for Premium Members. See results for each match-up, Crist-Davis, Crist-Smith, Gallagher-Davis, or Gallagher-Smith. Also available is other data on the candidates along with Job Approval ratings for the President and Governor.