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Middle East: Hezbollah to Blame for Current Strife, 56% Say
Many Fear a Wider Regional Conflict to Come
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A week into the renewed violence between Israel and Lebanon triggered by the kidnapping of two Israeli soldiers, 56% of Americans say that Lebanon-based terrorist group Hezbollah is to blame for the conflict. Just 18% place the blame on the government of Lebanon and 12% say Israel. Men and Republicans are more likely than women and Democrats to blame Hezbollah.

Our survey was conducted Monday and Tuesday, July 17 and 18. The question wording did not identify Hezbollah in any way. Respondents were simply asked about “the government of Israel, the government of Lebanon, or Hezbollah.” (See question wording and crosstabs).

A plurality of 46% say protecting Israel's right to exist is more important than securing an immediate ceasefire. Again, men (55%) and Republicans (62%) are more likely than women (37%) and Democrats (36%) to say protecting Israel should be the priority.

Americans are paying steady attention to the story, with 81% following it either somewhat or very closely.

Except for statements of broad support of Israel, plus a few words of caution, the Bush Administration has been taking a hands-off approach so far, although Secretary of State Rice reportedly may travel to the region at some point to try to help resolve it.

In any case, most Americans suspect things may get worse before they get better. With Iran and Syria often being cited as enablers of Hezbollah, 82% are at least somewhat concerned that the conflict may soon include fighting between Israel and Iran, and other countries. Fifty-three percent (53%) are "very" concerned about the prospect.

Decades of Middle Eastern violence have left Americans divided as to whether peace is even possible in that region.

Forty-one percent (41%) say it is possible for Israelis and Palestinians to eventually live side by side in peace; 38% say No to that proposition. Many more Democrats (51%) than Republicans (32%) say such peaceful coexistence is possible. Almost twice as many Republicans as Democrats say No, it's not.

Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 1,000 Adults
July 17-18, 2006

Majority Say Hezbollah is Responsible for Violence in Israel

Hezbollah

56%

Lebanon Government

16%

Israeli Government

12%

Most Americans Concerned Middle East Conflict May Continue & Expand to other Countries

Very Concerned

53%

Somewhat Concerned

29%

Not Very Concerned

10%

Not at All Concerned

6%

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