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July 19, 2005--Senator George Allen will
face a major re-election battle if Governor Mark Warner decides to
challenge him in 2006. The latest Rasmussen Reports Election 2006
survey finds the Democratic Governor leading by four percentage
points in that match-up.
Warner currently attracts 48% of the
vote to 44% for Allen. Many
people consider it unlikely that Warner will challenge Allen. It
would be difficult for other Democrats to match Warner's numbers at
this time.
Three
months ago, Allen was ahead by four points. Both Warner and
Allen are considered prospects for their party's Presidential
nomination in 2008.
(A separate release shows the GOP has an edge in the 2005 race to be Virginia's next
Governor).
Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Virginia
voters favor a military response to the London bombings. That's a
bit higher than the national average.
Supporters of Senator Allen
overwhelmingly favor a military response. Warner voters are
divided--39% believe the appropriate response is to withdraw troops
from Iraq while 34% prefer a military attack.
Warner is viewed favorably by 63% of voters in the state
and unfavorably by 31%.
The numbers for Allen are 58% favorable and 37% unfavorable.
The telephone survey of 500 Likely
Voters was conducted July 12, 2005. The margin of
sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points, with a 95% level of
confidence.
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic
publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and
distribution of public opinion polling information.
Our publications provide real-time
information on consumer confidence, investor confidence, employment
data, the political situation, and other topics of value and
interest.
During Election 2004,
RasmussenReports.com was the top-ranked public opinion research site
on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor
and nearly as many as all competitors combined.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen
Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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The telephone survey of 500 Likely
Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 12, 2005. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/-
4.5
percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. 40% of survey
respondents were Republican, 33% Democrat, and 27% unaffiliated (see Methodology)
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