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Thursday December 15, 2005--Dino
Rossi, the man who narrowly lost the race to be Washington's
Governor last November, holds a slight lead over incumbent Senator
Maria Cantwell in a hypothetical Election 2006 match-up.
Rossi attracts 47% of the vote to Cantwell's 44% in a
survey of 500 Likely Voters conducted February 22, 2005. The margin
of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of
confidence. Rossi leads by 7 points among men and trails by 1 among
women.
A Republican victory in the "Blue State" of Washington would
go against the recent trend of Senate elections matching up with the
state's Presidential preference.
In Election 2004, eight Senate seats switched from one party
to the other. Six of the eight were Republican victories in Red
States. One was a Democratic victory in the very Blue State of
Illinois. The exception that proves the rule was Colorado where
Democrat Ken Salazar narrowly defeated first time candidate Pete
Coors.
Overall, Rossi is viewed favorably by 55% of Washington's
voters. Cantwell is viewed favorably by 54%.
Governor Christine Gregoire is viewed favorably by 50%,
although just 42% believe she legitimately won last November's
election. Forty-four percent (44%) believe Rossi was the real winner
while 15% don't know who won.
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm
specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of
public opinion polling information. Our publications provide
real-time information on consumer confidence, investor confidence,
employment data, the political situation, and other topics of value
and interest. We provide daily updates
on the economic confidence of Consumers and Investors. Our consumer
data generally identifies trends two to six weeks ahead of
traditional consumer confidence measures.
To keep up with our latest releases, be sure to
visit the Rasmussen Reports
Home Page.
The
final, certified, results of Election 2004 show that President
George W. Bush received 50.7% of the vote while Senator John Kerry
earned 48.3%. Those figures are very close to the final Rasmussen
Reports Daily Tracking Poll. We projected the President would win
50.2% to 48.5%.
The survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by
Rasmussen Reports February 22, 2005. Margin of sampling error is +/-
4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
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